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Learning associations of COVID-19 hospitalizations with wastewater viral signals by Markov modulated models

Volume 52, September 2025, 100840Author links open overlay panel, , , Highlights•General extensions of distributed lag mod...

Epidemics

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Improving policy-oriented agent-based modeling with history matching: A case study

Volume 52, September 2025, 100845Author links open overlay panel, , , , , Highlights•Calibrating detailed epidemiological ...

Epidemics

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Projecting the population-level impact of norovirus vaccines

Volume 52, September 2025, 100842Author links open overlay panel, , , , , Highlights•Development of a mathematical model t...

Epidemics

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Modelling the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 during the first 14 days of infection

Interpreting the viral mechanism of SARS-CoV-2 based on the human body level is critical for developing more efficient int...

Epidemics

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Transmission dynamics of Norovirus GII and Enterovirus in Switzerland during the COVID-19 pandemic (2021–2022) as evidenced in wastewater

Noroviruses and enteroviruses are major causes of endemic gastrointestinal disease associated with substantial disease bur...

Epidemics

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Sequential Monte Carlo Squared for online inference in stochastic epidemic models

Effective epidemic modeling and surveillance require computationally efficient methods that can continuously update parame...

Epidemics

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Investigating the impact of edge weight selection on the pig trade network topology

Volume 52, September 2025, 100849Author links open overlay panel, , , Highlights•Traceability of animal movements is criti...

Epidemics

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Explaining the stable coexistence of drug-resistant and -susceptible pathogens: the resistance acquisition purifying selection model

Volume 52, September 2025, 100848Author links open overlay panelHighlights•A model explains the coexistence of resistant a...

Epidemics

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Epidemiology and environmental risks of antibiotic resistant Enterobacterales isolates in different aquatic matrices from North-Western Romania

The most menacing sources of environmental contamination with antibiotic resistant bacteria are effluents derived from ant...

Epidemics

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The bridge between two worlds: Global South researchers' journeys through Global North academic training and beyond

International training of Global South researchers represents a strategic investment that yields substantial returns, rath...

Epidemics

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Advances in approximate Bayesian inference for models in epidemiology

Bayesian inference methods are useful in infectious diseases modeling due to their capability to propagate uncertainty, ma...

Epidemics

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Environmental drivers of Ixodes ricinus tick population dynamics: Mechanistic modelling using longitudinal field surveys and climate data

Ixodes ricinus is the primary vector for Lyme disease and tick-borne encephalitis across Europe. However, the environmenta...

Epidemics

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Optimisation of wastewater surveillance for COVID-19 after resumption of normalcy from the pandemic: A case of Hong Kong

Wastewater surveillance (WWS) was critical to Hong Kong’s COVID-19 response, providing early warning indicators and enabli...

Epidemics

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Rtglm: Unifying estimation of the time-varying reproduction number, Rt, under the Generalised Linear and Additive Models

Most current methods to estimate the time-varying reproduction number (Rt), such as EpiEstim, rely on branching processes ...

Epidemics

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Forecasting regional COVID-19 hospitalisation in England using ordinal machine learning method

BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic caused substantial pressure on healthcare, with many systems needing to prepare for and mi...

Epidemics

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Reimagining the serocatalytic model for infectious diseases: A case study of common coronaviruses

Despite the increased availability of serological data, understanding serodynamics remains challenging. Serocatalytic mode...

Epidemics

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Wastewater-based surveillance for influenza and respiratory syncytial virus: Insights from a 21-month study in Oklahoma

Data from the wastewater sample testing are available in aggregated format (number of positive samples per month per count...

Epidemics

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Random Forest of epidemiological models for Influenza forecasting

Volume 53, December 2025, 100862Author links open overlay panel, Highlights•Tree Ensemble-based framework using prediction...

Epidemics

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Augmenting community-driven vector surveillance with automated image classification: Lessons from the Artificial Intelligence Mosquito Alert (AIMA) system

The Mosquito Alert (MA) platform leverages artificial intelligence to enhance community-driven mosquito surveillance by au...

Epidemics

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Optimizing spatial distribution of wastewater-based epidemiology to advance health equity