The 2018 ACC (American College of Cardiology)/AHA (American Heart Association) and 2021 ESC (European Society of Cardiology)/EAS (European Atherosclerosis Society) guidelines recommend coronary artery calcium (CAC) score for risk refinement in primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).

This study sought to compare CAC utility as a risk-refining tool following the ACC/AHA guideline using pooled cohort equations (PCE) or PREVENT (Predicting Risk of cardiovascular disease EVENTs) equations and ESC/EAS guideline using SCORE2 (Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation 2).

A total of 1,903 statin-naive participants 55 to 75 years of age, free of ASCVD and diabetes, with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol <190 mg/dL from the prospective population-based Rotterdam Study were included. Per the guidelines, we determined proportions of CAC scan–eligible and reclassified men and women, ASCVD incidence rates, and numbers needed to treat for 10 years (NNT10y).

By the ACC/AHA (PCE), 18.3% of men and 11.9% of women, and by ACC/AHA (PREVENT), 13.4% of men and 3.4% of women were eligible for a CAC scan. By the ESC/EAS, 46.6% of men and 44.9% of women were CAC eligible. Proportions of uprisked and derisked individuals varied per guideline. Among ACC/AHA and ESC/EAS CAC-eligible individuals, incidence rates ranged from 9.3 to 23.8 per 1,000 person-years, and the estimated NNT10y to prevent 1 ASCVD event, based on high-intensity statin use, varied from 11 to 26.

The ACC/AHA and ESC/EAS guidelines differ in the selection and application of the CAC score for primary prevention of ASCVD. Guideline-directed application of CAC score in a middle-aged apparently healthy population improved risk stratification at an acceptable NNT10y for both guidelines.

atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease

clinical practice guidelines

coronary artery calcium

epidemiology

population based

primary prevention

statin

atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease

coronary artery calcium

low-density lipoprotein

number needed to treat for 10 years

pooled cohort equations

© 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier on behalf of the American College of Cardiology Foundation.