Effect of Regdanvimab on Mortality in Patients Infected with SARS-CoV-2 Delta Variants: A Propensity Score-Matched Cohort Study

In this retrospective observational study, we found that regdanvimab treatment was significantly associated with reduced 30-day hospital mortality and the proportions who received oxygen therapy because of pneumonia exacerbation in COVID-19 delta variant patients. In a previous study on the efficacy of regdanvimab, the percentage of patients placed on supplemental oxygen because of exacerbation of pneumonia was higher among 66 patients treated with regdanvimab during the delta variant-dominant period than 66 patients treated with regdanvimab during the pre-delta variant-dominant period, and the above study reported that the therapeutic efficacy of regdanvimab is unclear [17]. However, the above study did not confirm delta variant and only compared the before and during delta variant dominance and also did not adjust for vaccination status, which limits an accurate determination of the therapeutic effects of regdanvimab. Another recent study on patients with confirmed delta variant COVID-19 infection also reported that the percentages of patients with < 90% SpO2 on room air (1.0% vs. 3.5%, p = 0.0987), those placed on HFNC or higher oxygen supplementation (2.0% vs. 5.2%, p = 0.1029), and those who died (0.0% vs. 0.9%, p = 0.2791) were non-significantly lower among the 297 patients treated with regdanvimab compared with the 115 patients not treated with regdanvimab [9]. However, in their study, when analyzing all COVID-19 patients, the percentage of patients who deteriorated to < 90% SpO2 on room air was significantly lower (1.2% vs. 7.9%, p < 0.0001) among the 418 patients treated with regdanvimab compared with the 304 patients not treated with regdanvimab [9]. The therapeutic effects of regdanvimab in their study were consistent with the results of our study, but when comparing only the delta variant group, there was no significant difference with a p-value > 0.05. This is because their study did not consider the patient age, vaccination status, and severity. In their study, among all subgroups, the delta variant subgroup treated with regdanvimab exhibited the highest severity and the lowest vaccination rate, potentially leading to an underestimation of the effectiveness of regdanvimab. In our study, we included only patients confirmed to have delta variant infection and PS matched the regdanvimab and non-regdanvimab groups on age, sex, COVID-19 vaccination history, and severity at the time of admission (percentage of patients with mild and moderate conditions). These measures allowed our study to more accurately assess the therapeutic efficacy of regdanvimab against the COVID-19 delta variant than other previous studies.

Diabetes mellitus and obesity are major risk factors for COVID-19 [18]. In our study, there were no differences between groups in the percentage of patients with other pre-existing conditions; however, that with DM was significantly higher in the regdanvimab group, both before and after PS matching. Moreover, there were also significantly more patients with a BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 in the regdanvimab group before PS matching. This is presumably because only patients at high risk for exacerbation of the condition, which includes those with diabetes mellitus and BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2, were indicated to receive regdanvimab. Despite the higher percentage of patients with obesity and diabetes mellitus, two major risk factors of COVID-19, in the regdanvimab group before PS matching, those who required supplemental oxygen because of exacerbation of pneumonia during hospital stay, those placed on HFNC, those progressing to a severe condition, and those who died were significantly fewer in the regdanvimab group than in the non-regdanvimab group.

In our study, the percentage of unvaccinated patients was significantly higher in the regdanvimab group (179/262, 68.3%) than in the non-regdanvimab group (113/179, 49.1%) before PS matching. Moreover, the percentage of patients with a moderate condition at the time of admission was higher in the regdanvimab group (25.6%) than in the non-regdanvimab group (14.8%). This may be attributable to the complex system when regdanvimab was first approved with emergency authorization for use on patients. Then, the healthcare providers had to obtain informed consent from the patient, submit a drug request via fax for approval, and receive the drug via parcel services. Therefore, regdanvimab was not used in vaccinated patients or those with mild conditions. Furthermore, patients with mild symptoms sometimes refused the drug because of reluctance to use a new drug. In addition, even after official authorization, the supply of regdanvimab was halted for a time because of its rapidly increased usage as well as when unvaccinated patients or those with severe conditions (those at a higher risk of clinical deterioration) were prioritized for the available drugs because the drug was insufficient for all patients who meet the indications. These reasons might have contributed to the higher percentage in the regdanvimab group.

To evaluate how quickly regdanvimab stabilizes patients’ vital signs, we calculated daily NEWS based on the respiration rate, oxygen saturations, any supplemental oxygen, temperature, systolic blood pressure, heart rate, and level of consciousness from the day of admission to discharge. NEWS has been used to assess patient prognosis in several studies. A systematic review of 121 articles showed that the most frequently used cut-off value reported in the literature was ≥ 5 points [19]. Furthermore, a study on NEWS and quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) in 1713 patients admitted to five acute care hospitals in the UK reported that NEWS is a better risk assessment tool than qSOFA and that the risk for ICU admission and death significantly increased among patients with a NEWS ≥ 5 [20]. Regarding these studies, we considered patients with a NEWS ≥ 5 as at high clinical risk group and compared the percentage between the two groups. From HD 2, there were fewer patients with a NEWS ≥ 5 in the regdanvimab group and significantly fewer on HD 3 and 8. Thus, regdanvimab is believed to have helped stabilize the vital signs of patients with COVID-19 delta variant infection.

First discovered in India in October 2020, the COVID-19 delta variant is reported to have a higher transmissibility and to spread more quickly than the original and alpha variants [21], with a higher risk for progression to severe infection and mortality compared to the alpha variant [22,23,24]. However, regdanvimab was available only to a limited number of patients because of the conditional approval for emergency use during the delta variant wave, and even patients indicated for regdanvimab could not receive the drug because of the complex supply process. Since 2020, monoclonal antibody COVID-19 drugs have been developed by several pharmaceutical companies at an unprecedented rate, and many countries granted an emergency-use authorization to promptly roll them out to COVID-19 patients [25]. Since its official authorization in September 2021 in Korea, regdanvimab has been supplied to many COVID-19 treatment facilities, including residential treatment centers and long-term care facilities. Nevertheless, its supply was suspended in February 2022—5 months after the official approval—because the Omicron variant became dominant. The Omicron variant has more than 30 spike protein mutations, and 15 of them are on the receptor-binding domain. Neutralizing antibodies such as regdanvimab act by binding to the receptor-binding domain of SARS-CoV 2 and prevent viral attachment to the host’s ACE2 receptor. However, several mutations on the receptor-binding domain, the binding site for neutralizing antibodies, in the Omicron variant reduced the sensitivity to neutralization by most monoclonal antibodies [26,27,28].

Our study provides important implications by confirming that regdanvimab was effective in reducing the rate of severity progression, lowering the 30-day mortality, and more quickly stabilizing vital signs in high-risk patients with the delta variant, which had higher severity and mortality rates compared to the Omicron variant. Although regdanvimab is not currently in use, the efficacy of monoclonal antibodies like regdanvimab remains contentious, and continued research on them holds promise for informing future treatments of viral infectious diseases.

The development of new drugs typically takes several years. However, Celltrion Inc., the manufacturers of regdanvimab, significantly shortened the period from drug development to completion of phase 2 clinical trials to 10 months [3]. One key strategy for rapid development was obtaining blood samples from the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency (KDCA) during the antibody discovery phase to construct a library of candidate antibodies. Furthermore, the time taken to select the final antibody was shortened through real-time virus neutralization tests conducted by the KDCA. Through pre-submission discussions with regulatory authorities, the company and regulatory agencies narrowed their differences in opinions, and they could swiftly review and supplement clinical trial protocols, chemistry, manufacturing, and control (CMC) as well as good manufacturing practice (GMP) by utilizing the pre-review system of the MFDS. Through these rapid preliminary discussions and rolling reviews in Korea, regdanvimab obtained conditional approvals for emergency use unusually quickly, just 1 month after submitting the final phase 2 clinical trial report. However, it is unfortunate that the process of applying for and receiving regdanvimab spanned from 1 to 4 days. According to the guidelines for using conditional approval drugs, physicians need to obtain explicit consent from the patient, submit the completed supply request form to the company via fax or email, and then receive the drug by delivery. Monoclonal antibodies such as regdanvimab are most effective when administered early in the course of illness. However, this process led to delayed administration of regdanvimab to patients, and in some cases, administration was not possible via fax or email delivery delays. In the future, it would be beneficial to implement real-time checking of consent forms and supply requests through internet computing. Additionally, preemptive distribution of drugs to local hospitals could enable same-day delivery, streamlining the process and ensuring timely access to medications.

This study had a few limitations. First, it was conducted in two centers and was a retrospective study using EMR. It would have been beneficial to involve additional facilities and a larger study population. However, the specific SARS-CoV-2 gene and mutations are not identified for most inpatients. Thus, since this study only included patients diagnosed with the delta variant, it was difficult to enroll patients from other facilities. However, the study hospitals were tertiary hospitals designated as COVID-19 hospitals in 2021; thus, they had a high number of high-risk inpatients, and the inpatients were representative of the COVID-19 inpatient population in Korea. Second, although we adjusted for age, sex, vaccination status, and severity at the time of admission through PS matching, we could not adjust for all confounders, such as pre-existing conditions and antibiotics used. However, that diabetes mellitus and obesity, which are key risk factors, were more prevalent in the regdanvimab group suggests that the therapeutic efficacy of regdanvimab could have actually been underestimated in our study. In addition, the use of antibiotics is helpful only in cases of co- or secondary infections, and there were no significant differences in the use of steroids and remdesivir, which have been confirmed to be helpful in treating patient outcomes of COVID-19 between the two groups. Thus, we believe that there is little bias from unmeasured confounding factors. Third, in this study, we were unable to determine the side effects of regdanvimab. However, there were no reported cases of side effects, including serious allergic reactions such as anaphylaxis, and there were no cases of discontinuation of administration due to decreased liver or kidney function following the administration of regdanvimab.

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